With the Vicious Cycle Index (VCI), no imagination is required. Moody's Analytics ( MCO +2.88%) chief economist Mark Zandi ...

Recessions are not predictable with precision. But they are priceable, and at 40% to 50% probability, the risk deserves ...

Recession fears are back, but the outlook is more complicated than a simple yes or no. Here’s what top economists, business ...

Recession fears have a way of making income investors second-guess everything, and if dividends are paid out of cash flow, ...

The next recession could come immediately — or not for another five years. The old joke goes that economists have predicted nine of the last three recessions, but sooner or later, downturns always ...

When recession fears make headlines, I always wonder which parts of the country would actually handle an economic downturn the best. I asked ChatGPT to analyze which states are most prepared for a ...

A coin flip. That's the odds the US enters a recession in the next 12 months, according to a Moody's Analytics model. How to ...

The outlook for the U.S. economy will continue to worsen as long as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The outlook for the U.S. economy will continue to darken as long as the Strait of Hormuz ...

The likelihood of a recession has increased significantly since February, according to the predictions market platform Kalshi ...

Negative correlation between stocks and bonds is not the historical norm; it prevailed during low inflation (2000–2021) and is unlikely to return soon. Periods of inflation above 3% historically ...