Recession probability climbs to 39.2% in March 2026. Markets decline, oil prices surge, and key valuation metrics signal economic uncertainty ahead.

Michael Farr, chairman of FarrCrest Capital, raised questions about personal responsibility at the University of Delaware’s ...

Welcome to The Hill’s Business & Economy newsletter{beacon} Business & Economy Business & Economy   The Big Story Democrats ...

Researchers at the Federal Reserve recently published a paper on Kalshi's effectiveness in predicting certain economic indicators.

Typically in times of geopolitical turmoil, analysts look to the past for precedents and templates, but history is ...

Economists have pulled up their risk assessments of a contraction amid heightened uncertainty over geopolitical risk and a ...

North Carolina’s nonpartisan consensus economic forecast, released Tuesday, projected hundred of millions of dollars more in ...

Mark Zandi said the risk of a US recession is rising, and flagged the exact level he thinks oil would need to hit to spur a ...

As the artificial intelligence landscape continues to rapidly evolve and attract greater scrutiny, the probability of the ...

A key New Hampshire economist has trimmed down to 2.2% his forecast for the growth in the state's economy this for 2026, ...

Mainstream finance regularly confuses finance, insurance and betting. The Austrian School provides the tools to understand ...